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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: June 14th, 2023

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  • It’s compulsory with a huge asterisk next to it.

    If they call you in, it’s compulsory.

    However, they call far from everyone, and there’s about 1001 things you can do to not get called for service if you really don’t want to.

    First step is that you’re sent a form to fill out. Questions about your health and habits among other things. So. If you really don’t want to… Let’s just say they probably won’t be too interested in someone that (allegedly) smokes 1-2 pack of cigarettes a day.

    Not to be confused with the Swedish concept of “Total Defense” (probably poorly translated). Should “total-defense” be called however. Everyone between 16 and 70 have to report in for war-duty. This doesn’t mean everyone is going into battle. But it means you have to be at service for the defensive effort of our nation. Could be administrative tasks, logistical, construction, anything really, depends on who you are and what your experience is. This is not something you can get out of. It’s one of your duties as a citizen











  • Where to begin…

    But I’ll touch on something no one else has here.

    Shopping carts. It’s mindblowing to me that the country that sent men to the moon still hasn’t figured out that its easier for everyone if they turn on all 4 wheels rather than the 2 front ones.

    That way you can slide your cart sideways to make room for other shoppers. And turning it takes no effort.

    And even… even if it is some weird cost cutting thing. Why not make them turn on the rear wheels? That would still make it easier than in the front. Since you steer the cart from the rear.

    Get your shit together. Put gun controll aside, put your dumb ass two party politics aside and focus on what matters. Your godawful shopping carts.



  • I do not believe in fate.

    You should stop assuming things because you’re not very accurate with your assumptions.

    Do you want to speculate if the rounds fired are hand loaded or factory made? Maybe this specific batch of rounds had black pepper instead of gunpowder? Maybe the hammer will break just as he’s about to shoot, what are the chances of the executioner having a stroke or an aneurysm? maybe your mom would be your dad if she had balls. And your grandma would be a bike if she had wheels.

    I’m not going to debate elementary school level statistics with you. Option A and C both will give you ~33% chance of survival. But for you specifically. I’d recommend option B, for all of our sake.


  • For instance, in the case of 4/6, one must assume the bullets include 2 sequential empty chambers

    No. One must not assume that. You are trying to make all the assumptions that benefit you. A certain bald spot somewhere. A bias in the mechanism that they know about, somehow it’s also about capitalism bla bla bla. You put a lot of effort into purposefully misunderstanding how simple statistics work.

    And no. If you survive the first pull. You are LESS likely to survive the second. Not more.

    It’s still the same 5/6 chance. But you having to get that chance multiple times in row makes it less likely the longer you go on. And the math will have it so after 6 times. It comes out to about ~33%

    How you feel about it on a philosophical level doesn’t change the reality around you.

    You can choose which ever option you feel more comfortable with. And that’s ok. But it’s not going to change how statistics work.



  • The previous shots do matter. Because for you to even reach the 6:th shot, all previous attempts have to be in your favor.

    It’s (5/6) you’ll live each pull. But to reach pull #2 you’ll have to survive the first. To reach pull #3 you have to survive the first 2.

    You’re looking at events that have to take place is a specific order. You have to multiply each pull to work out the probability of this event following one of those orders. It will come out to (5/6)^6.

    (5/6) is the probability you survive. And ^6 because you have to survive it 6 times.

    You’re looking at ~33% of getting empty slots 6 times in a row.

    Previous attempts always have a bearing on statistics if things need to happen in a certain order.


  • That’s not how statistics work.

    Leta say you’re on your 6:th shot on option A.

    For you to even get there, it requires all previous attempts to be in your favor. You’re looking at events that all have to happen in a favorable order. And that is as follows

    5/6 chance you live after the first time. (5/6)^2 chance you live after the second. (Because you have to survive the first) (5/6)^3 chance you live after the third. (Because you have to survive the first AND the second) … and so on until (5/6)^6 ~ 33%

    Think about flipping a coin. Do you really think getting 6 heads in a row is 50/50? The coin is “reset” between each flip. But it’s not a 50/50 chance to get 6 heads in a row. If you don’t believe me. Try it and see. According to statistics. It will take you 64 attempts to get 6 heads in a row.